Modeling Land-Use Land-Cover Change Complexity: A System Dynamics Approach

Isdore Paterson Guma, Agnes Semwanga Rwashana, Benedict Oyo and Daniel Waiswa
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Isdore Paterson Guma: Gulu University, Uganda
Agnes Semwanga Rwashana: Makerere University, Uganda
Benedict Oyo: Gulu University, Uganda
Daniel Waiswa: Makerere University, Uganda

International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), 2024, vol. 12, issue 1, 1-22

Abstract: Qualitative models help policymakers understand land-use changes by examining the processes involved and predicting future patterns. This study aims to use dynamic synthesis methodology to establish cause-and-effect relationships. The study, conducted in the Mt. Elgon region encompassing Mbale, Manafwa, Bududa, and Namisindwa districts, utilized questionnaires and interviews to gather data. Findings suggest that short-term solutions to reduce wood fuel consumption include raising awareness, promoting mindset change, and providing subsidies for alternative energy sources. Long-term strategies involve advocating for tree planting, strengthening land use policies, and ensuring strict implementation. While stakeholder engagement does not automatically guarantee high-quality decision analysis, it is crucial for promoting natural resource protection and fostering a sense of ownership over the issue.

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:igg:jsda00:v:12:y:2024:i:1:p:1-22

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