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Inflation, Credibility, and the Role of the International Monetary Fund

Curzio Giannini and Carlo Cottarelli

No 1998/012, IMF Policy Discussion Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper argues that many developing countries may find it difficult to buttress disinflation programs purely through the adoption of traditional credibility-enhancing devices (such as monetary anchors and central bank independence), owing to “technical problems” (for example, high instability of money demand, increased capital mobility) and an insufficient endowment of credibility in the political institutions. In these cases, borrowing credibility from an outside agency like the International Monetary Fund may be the most effective solution. The paper discusses the different options that would allow the Fund to support programs aimed not at external adjustment—the Fund’s traditional role—but at disinflation.

Keywords: PDP; disinflation program; Fund resource; Fund program; Fund support; Fund lending; inflation; International Monetary Fund; credibility; Fund's involvement; disinflation strategy; inflation expectation; Fund-supported program; Fund-supported disinflation program; stamp of approval; Disinflation; Balance of payments need; Price stabilization; Inflation targeting; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 1998-09-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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