Colombia: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Colombia

International Monetary Fund

No 2016/129, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper discusses key issues related to the Colombian economy. Despite adverse global circumstances, Colombia’s successful policies and inclusive growth agenda continued in 2015. Colombia’s strong policy framework helped ensure an orderly adjustment to the deteriorated external conditions. Although the medium-term outlook is favorable, it is surrounded by downside risks. The main near-term risks stem from Colombia’s still significant near-term external financing needs and potential capital inflow reversals, the result of volatile global financial conditions. On the upside, bringing the peace process to fruition could further improve business confidence and capital inflows, reinforcing the recovery that will follow the necessary adjustment process.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; middle; government; inflation expectation; deficit; anchor inflation expectation; terms of trade shock; exchange rate depreciation; oil price shock; Current account deficits; Depreciation; Public sector; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 78
Date: 2016-05-20
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