Republic of Kazakhstan: Financial System Stability Assessment

International Monetary Fund

No 2024/048, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper presents Republic of Kazakhstan’s Financial System Stability Assessment report. In 2024, Kazakhstan’s economic growth is expected to slow to 3.1 percent, mostly due to delays in expanding the Tengiz oil field, while inflation, which is still well above the authorities’ target, would continue to decline. The authorities have continued their efforts to secure macroeconomic stability. The National Bank of Kazakhstan maintained tight monetary policy throughout 2023. The authorities remain committed to medium-term fiscal consolidation and have undertaken significant efforts to increase trade diversification and address governance and corruption vulnerabilities. According to the recently completed Financial Sector Assessment Program, the banking system appears well capitalized in aggregate. Kazakhstan is exposed to transition risk from domestic and global climate policies. Banking supervision has become more risk-based, but related party transactions remain challenging to monitor and consolidated supervision is still incomplete. Finally, there remain gaps in the financial safety nets and crisis management arrangements.

Keywords: FSAP finding; Tier 1; kazakhstani tenge; FX assets; Kazakhstan stock exchange; NBK policy rate; consumer lending; instability episode; nonfinancial corporate; headline inflation; asset concentration risk; liquidity shock; ARDFM power; liquidity forbearance measure; Kazakhstan financial system; loan portfolio; cash flow; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Financial sector stability; Loans; Commercial banks; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53
Date: 2024-02-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-fdg
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