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Spain: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report

International Monetary Fund

No 2024/152, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The Article IV Consultation discusses that with a growth rate of 2.5 percent in 2023 and continued solid activity momentum, the Spanish economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience to elevated global uncertainty and tighter financial conditions. Robust services export performance and public consumption have been the main drivers of recent growth. Spain’s banking system has shown resilience. Strong economic and labor market performance and deleveraging have helped the private sector cushion the impact from rising interest rates, although pockets of vulnerability remain. Growth is projected to reach 2.4 percent in 2024 and 2.1 percent in 2025, driven primarily by stronger domestic demand growth. Private consumption is expected to strengthen as the household saving rate normalizes gradually and real wage income continues to increase steadily. Uncertainty surrounding the outlook has become more balanced, but risks remain tilted to the downside for growth and to the upside for inflation.

Keywords: article IV consultation discussion; Banco de Espana; labor market performance; C. labor market policy; IMF staff estimate; Labor markets; Inflation; Employment; Global; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 85
Date: 2024-06-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-inv
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