Week to Week Attendance and Competitive Balance in the National Football League

Dennis Coates and Brad Humphreys

International Journal of Sport Finance, 2010, vol. 5, issue 4, 239-252

Abstract: We examine the relationship between game day attendance, uncertainty of outcome, and team and facility quality in the National Football League. Based on results from a reduced form model of game day attendance at 5,495 regular season NFL games from the 1985-2008 seasons, we find weak evidence that attendance increases when fans expect the home team to win by a large margin, and strong evidence that attendance decreases when the home team is expected to lose, contrary to the predictions of the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis.

Keywords: attendance; competitive balance; NFL; uncertainty of outcome (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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International Journal of Sport Finance is currently edited by Arne Feddersen, Babatunde Buraimo, Joachim Prinz and Jane Ruseski

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