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The Behavior of the Post-Crises Indonesian Banking Industry (An Analysis Based on Oligopoly Theory and Dynamic Panel Data Econometrics)

Moch. Doddy Ariefianto ()
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Moch. Doddy Ariefianto: Faculty of Economics, Ma Chung University, Malang, Indonesia

Economics and Finance in Indonesia, 2010, vol. 58, 269-284

Abstract: This article focuses on the behavior of Indonesian banking industry, especially after the 1998 Asian Financial Crisis. The analytical approach and hypotheses construction employ the well- known oligopoly theory of Cournot and Stackleberg. This approach for banking was first introduced by Monti (1971) and Klein (1972), which was subsequently developed by Toolsema and Schoonbeck (1999) and Yamazaki and Miyamoto (2004). This study expands the model further through introducing market leadership and the existence of the inter-bank money market. A panel data set composed of 30 banks with a monthly frequency spanning from January 2002 to December 2008 is constructed in order to verify the hypotheses. An econometric method of Dynamic Panel Data (DPD) is employed, since the model is characterized by endogeneity. The estimation and inference therein show that Indonesian Banking behavior is of the Stackleberg-Bertrand variant. Banks suspected to dominate the industry are Bank Mandiri, BCA and Citibank

Keywords: Oligopoly Theory; Market Leadership; Dynamic Panel Data; Endogeneity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 D43 G21 L13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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