Réformes agricoles, emploi et réduction de la pauvreté: une analyse en équilibre général dynamique

Soumana Harouna Idé, Saadatou Alkassoum Sangaré, Fatimata Ousseini and Bibata Mahamadou

Working Papers MPIA from PEP-MPIA

Abstract: Le Niger ambitionne de mobiliser et valoriser ses ressources en eau pour satisfaire ses besoins d’irrigation. La preÌ sente eÌ tude eÌ value l’impact d’une plus grande mobilisation de ces eaux sur les agreÌ gats macroeÌ conomiques : la production agricole, l’emploi, le revenu des meÌ nages et la pauvreteÌ . Le ModeÌ€le d’Equilibre GeÌ neÌ ral Calculable (MEGC) dynamique est utiliseÌ pour mettre en Å“uvre un premier sceÌ nario examinant les reÌ percussions d’une augmentation de la production des eaux souterraines puis un autre portant sur les effets d’un accroissement de l’offre des eaux de surface. Les reÌ sultats estimeÌ s sur une peÌ riode de 15 ans illustrent les meÌ canismes de transmission selon les types d’investissements privileÌ gieÌ s. Dans les deux sceÌ narios, on observe une ameÌ lioration significative de la production agricole, la croissance eÌ conomique et le revenu des meÌ nages agricoles. Toutefois, les effets sont nettement plus importants lorsque des efforts sont fournis pour mobiliser les eaux de surface. / Niger aims to mobilize and leverage water resources to meet its irrigation water needs. This study evaluates the impact of large-scale water mobilization on macroenomic aggregates: agricultural production, employment, household income, and poverty. The dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model was used to set up a first scenario to examine the repercussions of an increase of groundwater production and another scenario on the effects of a growth of surface water supplies. The results, estimated over a period of 15 years, show transmission mechanisms according to the preferred types of investments. In both scenarios, we observe a significant improvement of agricultural production, economic growth, and agricultural household income. However, the effects are obviously more important with greater efforts to mobilize surface waters.

Keywords: mobilisation de l’eau; eaux de surface; eaux souterraines; MEGC; reÌ formes agricoles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 I38 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lvl:mpiacr:2019-18

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