Electrifying Choices: How Electric Bicycles Impact on Mode Choice and CO2 Emissions

Thomas Hagedorn, Jan Wessel and Marlena Meier ()
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Thomas Hagedorn: Institute of Transport Economics, Muenster
Jan Wessel: Institute of Transport Economics, Muenster
Marlena Meier: Institute of Transport Economics, Muenster

No 40, Working Papers from Institute of Transport Economics, University of Muenster

Abstract: This paper analyzes (i) the influence of electric bicycle (“e-bike†) ownership on transport mode choice and (ii) how a change in e-bike ownership affects carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Germany. Using longitudinal data from household surveys from 2016 to 2022, we first conduct a trip-level analysis with a mixed multinomial logit model (MMNL model) to estimate mode choice probabilities. The results show that the change in e-bike ownership significantly affects travel behavior, by increasing the likelihood of choosing an e-bike as means of transportation by 14.6 percentage points (p.p.), while correspondingly decreasing the likelihood of choosing other modes, especially conventional bicycles by 5.6 p.p., as well as car and public transportation by about 4 p.p. each. Second, by using observed changes in individual distances traveled and transport-mode-specific emissions values, we calculate net emissions savings per person after acquiring an e-bike. These savings amount to 526.9kg CO2 per person and year.

Keywords: E-Bikes; transport mode choice; CO2 emissions; longitudinal data; mixed multinominal logit model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 Q59 R40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29 pages
Date: 2024-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm, nep-ene, nep-tre and nep-ure
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