Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios

Wenju Cai (), Benjamin Ng, Guojian Wang, Agus Santoso, Lixin Wu () and Kai Yang
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Wenju Cai: Ocean University of China and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
Benjamin Ng: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere
Guojian Wang: Ocean University of China and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
Agus Santoso: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere
Lixin Wu: Ocean University of China and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
Kai Yang: Chinese Academy of Sciences

Nature Climate Change, 2022, vol. 12, issue 3, 228-231

Abstract: Abstract Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact, and its future change is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the IPCC reports no systematic change in ENSO SST variability under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in century-long ENSO SST variability under four IPCC plausible emission scenarios.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01282-z

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