Rethinking energy planning to mitigate the impacts of African hydropower

Angelo Carlino, Rafael Schmitt, Anna Clark and Andrea Castelletti ()
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Angelo Carlino: Politecnico di Milano
Rafael Schmitt: Stanford University
Anna Clark: Stanford University
Andrea Castelletti: Politecnico di Milano

Nature Sustainability, 2024, vol. 7, issue 7, 879-890

Abstract: Abstract Around 100 GW of new hydropower projects have been proposed in continental Africa to contribute to meeting future energy demand. Yet, the future expansion of hydropower on the continent faces obstacles due to the impacts of dams on rivers, greenhouse gas emissions from reservoirs and increasingly competitive alternative renewable electricity technologies. Here we propose an integrated approach to include these considerations in energy planning. Compared with planning for least-cost energy systems, capacity expansion strategies balancing environmental and techno-economic objectives increase electricity prices and total discounted costs by at most 1.4% and 0.2%, respectively, while reducing impacts on annual hydropower emissions and river fragmentation by at least 50%. Our results demonstrate that refining techno-economic analysis in light of global and local environmental objectives can help policymakers reduce the river fragmentation and greenhouse gas emissions associated with hydropower development at marginal increases in energy costs.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01367-x

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