Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis

Victor Zarnowitz

in NBER Books from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Date: 1973
Note: PR CF EFG IO
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Chapters in this book:

Introduction , pp 1-6

Victor Zarnowitz

The Role of Orders in Industrial Production , pp 7-69

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Size and Frequency of Fluctuations , pp 70-128

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Timing Comparisons , pp 129-174

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Regression Analysis , pp 175-242

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Unfilled Orders and Industrial Activity , pp 243-295

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Unfilled Orders, Delivery Periods, and Price Changes , pp 296-343

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Orders, Production, and Inventory Investment , pp 344-408

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Indicators and Stages of Investment in Plant and Equipment , pp 409-463

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Factors Influencing Investment Commitments and Realizations , pp 464-520

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Cyclical Conformity and Timing , pp 521-587

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Patterns and Diffusion of Cyclical Movements , pp 588-640

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Main Results and Conclusions , pp 641-648

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Appendix A: Time Series on Orders, Shipments, Production, and Inventories , pp 649-668

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Appendix B: Supplementary Measures of Timing: Standard and Poor's Data , pp 669-682

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Appendix C: Price Deflators for Selected Manufacturing Industries , pp 683-686

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Appendix D: Average Monthly Percentage Amplitudes and Related Measures for New Orders, Production, and Shipments: Additional Evidence , pp 687-692

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Appendix E: New Orders and Shipments for Industrial Subdivisions, 1948–62 , pp 693-712

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Appendix F: Export Orders and Shipments , pp 713-717

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Appendix G: Regressions of Shipments on New Orders: First Results Based on Data for 1948–58 , pp 718-726

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Appendix H: Notes on Some Theoretical Aspects of Variable Delivery Periods , pp 727-731

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Appendix I: On Some Recent Studies of Industry Output-Order-Inventory Relations , pp 732-740

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