Smart Estimation Ver-H.1.0

Sigit Haryadi
Additional contact information
Sigit Haryadi: Institut Teknologi Bandung

No 2tyqk, INA-Rxiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: We cannot be sure exactly what will happen, we can only estimate by using a particular method, where each method must have the formula to create a regression equation and a formula to calculate the confidence level of the estimated value. This paper conveys a method of estimating the future values, in which the formula for creating a regression equation is based on the assumption that the future value will depend on the difference of the past values divided by a weight factor which corresponding to the time span to the present, and the formula for calculating the level of confidence is to use "the Haryadi Index". The advantage of this method is to remain accurate regardless of the sample size and may ignore the past value that is considered irrelevant.

Date: 2018-03-29
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://osf.io/download/5abc62dd266c2a000dc126f0/

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:inarxi:2tyqk

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/2tyqk

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in INA-Rxiv from Center for Open Science
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSF ().