Models and Strategies on Reopening Lockdown Societies due to COVID-19

Binheng Song and Xiali Hei

No umtvh, OSF Preprints from Center for Open Science

Abstract: COVID-19 has caused community lockdown, factory pausing, and economic activity decreasing. We study a compartmental Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Susceptible (SIQS) model, which is derived from the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model with an infected subject isolation compartment, and get three results through analysis the partial data related to COVID-19. First, we present scientific principles of controlling the spread of COVID-19 via isolation infected subjects. Second, we find that without the lockdown, it is possible to control COVID-19 through isolation more than 15.3\% of unquarantined infected subjects every day. The lockdown communities could be reopened. Third, we propose the strategies to test, isolate the infected subjects under different situations. Some of these strategies could be used to cope with other new pandemic diseases for the human being.

Date: 2020-04-15
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:osfxxx:umtvh

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/umtvh

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