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Pick Your Poison: The Attribution Paradox in Cyberwar

Eric Jardine and Nathaniel D Porter
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Nathaniel D Porter: Virginia Tech

No etb72, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: Certainty matters in cyberspace. The so-called attribution problem can impede deterrence, making cyberattacks more likely. But attribution problems can also limit conflict escalation, keeping nations safer. Using a discrete choice experimental design, this article quantifies the scope of the attribution problem for both deterrence and escalation. The results suggest that the attribution problem is really only a problem for deterrence and actually helps limit conflict escalation by reducing support for more severe retaliatory options.

Date: 2020-02-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:etb72

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/etb72

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