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Retirement and Social Security: A Political Economy Perspective

Ryo Arawatari and Tetsuo Ono

No 10-04, Discussion Papers in Economics and Business from Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics

Abstract: Countries with higher implicit taxes on continued work are associated with lower labor force participation rates of the elderly. This paper constructs a politicoeconomic model that accounts for this feature based on multiple, self-fulfilling expectations of agents. In this model, agents are identical at birth and can become skilled (or remain unskilled) through educational investment. When agents hold expectations of higher future taxation (i.e., higher social security benefits), it provides a disincentive to engage in educational investment, thereby resulting in an unskilled majority. In turn, this unskilled majority supports higher taxation, which induces the retirement of the elderly and thus results in a lower labor force participation rate. The opposite applies when agents have expectations of lower taxes in their old age.

Keywords: Political equilibrium; Retirement; Self-fulfilling expectations; Social security (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 H55 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2010-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-dge and nep-lab
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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