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Modelling the Price of Oil

Robert W Bacon

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1991, vol. 7, issue 2, 17-34

Abstract: This paper surveys the problem of modelling the determination of the price of crude oil. It discusses the need to define the price used and its relation to other related prices (such as the price of refined products). The factors determining the demand for oil, the supply of oil by OPEC and non-OPEC countries, and the behavior of stocks are discussed. Finally, some forecasts are presented and general conclusions are drawn on the difficulties of forecasting this series. Copyright 1991 by Oxford University Press.

Date: 1991
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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