Jumps and Post-FOMC Announcement Returns in Currency Markets

Suzanne S Lee and Minho Wang

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 2025, vol. 15, issue 3-4, 247-287

Abstract: We investigate intraday return dynamics in currency markets around FOMC announcements. Using comprehensive high-frequency exchange rate data, we reveal that post-FOMC announcement returns are significantly low, cancelling out approximately 65% of positive pre-FOMC announcement drifts. These post-announcement reversals mainly result from uncertainty resolution and are mostly realized between 12 and 24 hours after FOMC announcements. This return behavior is significantly related to the negative jump volatilities driven by FOMC announcements. Our findings suggest that our signed jump volatility measures capture informational shocks and uncertainty resolutions and tend to be high under illiquid market conditions. (JEL G14, G15)

Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rapstu/raaf003 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:rasset:v:15:y:2025:i:3-4:p:247-287.

Access Statistics for this article

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies is currently edited by Zhiguo He

More articles in The Review of Asset Pricing Studies from Society for Financial Studies
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Oxford University Press ().