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Skill or luck? The role of strategies and scenario analysis as a competitive differentiator for fund management firms

Jem Tugwell ()
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Jem Tugwell: Jem Tugwell Associates Limited

Journal of Asset Management, 2011, vol. 12, issue 4, No 5, 291 pages

Abstract: Abstract This article argues that plausible and provable market differentiation for a fund management firm can only be delivered via a strategy and scenario-centric investment approach. By facilitating correct and repeatable decisions across multiple funds, firms can demonstrate a transparent and efficient investment process, implemented via skill centres that add positive returns. The emphasis is on differentiating good luck from skill, proving that the underlying decisions contribute to the ultimate performance. The article challenges the conventional view of traditional performance attribution approaches, and illustrates the options for implementing a fundamentally more logical, measurable process.

Keywords: performance persistence; manager selection; manager evaluation; skill; attribution; diversification; breadth; active management versus passive management; derivatives or futures overlay; strategy; scenario (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.1057/jam.2011.10

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