Theories, Consistent Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics
Michael Goldberg and
Roman Frydman
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Michael Goldberg: New York University
Roman Frydman: University of New Hampshire
Chapter 20 in Open-Economy Macroeconomics, 1993, pp 377-399 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract It has been apparent for some time now that the standard asset market models of exchange rate determination provide poor descriptions of exchange rate behaviour. These models are usually solved using the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) and it seems natural to inquire whether the problem lies in part with the expectational assumption. Studies that undertake this line of analysis in the exchange rate literature include Frankel and Froot (1987) and Kirman (1990). In this chapter we pursue this line of research and explore the implications of an alternative expectational assumption, recently proposed in Frydman and Phelps (1990) called the theories consistent expectations hypothesis (TCEH). We show that using the TCEH to close the monetary models of the exchange rate brings their implications more closely in line with the empirical record.
Keywords: Exchange Rate; Real Exchange Rate; Real Interest Rate; Purchase Power Parity; Monetary Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1993
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:intecp:978-1-349-12884-6_20
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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-12884-6_20
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