Four Scenarios for the Future

Mats Larsson

Chapter Chapter 4 in Global Energy Transformation, 2009, pp 27-41 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract In the current literature a wide range of visions of the future are emerg­ing. There are people who envision a future that will unfold as a con­tinuation of past trends of increasing prosperity through technical and economic development. This may still be the most widespread picture of the future. I call this scenario “business as usual.” There are also experts in a wide range of fields, such as climate, the environment and peak oil, who envision futures that are substantially different from the present and where forces that have had a limited role historically take center stage and transform our environment and society in ways that most of us do not expect or wish for.

Keywords: Saudi Arabia; Renewable Fuel; Social Disruption; Global Peak; Horizontal Drilling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-24409-2_4

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DOI: 10.1057/9780230244092_4

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