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Portfolio Selection with Time-Varying Value-at-Risk

Erick W. Rengifo and Jeroen V. K. Rombouts

Chapter 9 in Financial Econometrics Modeling: Market Microstructure, Factor Models and Financial Risk Measures, 2011, pp 213-234 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract We propose a portfolio-selection model that maximizes expected returns subject to a time-varying value-at-risk constraint. The model allows for time-varying skewness and kurtosis of portfolio distributions estimating the model parameters by weighted maximum likelihood in an increasing-window setup. We determine the best daily investment recommendations in terms of percentage to borrow or lend and the optimal weights of the assets in a risky portfolio. An empirical application illustrates in an out-of-sample context which models are preferred from a statistical and economic point of view.

Keywords: Optimal Portfolio; Portfolio Selection; GARCH Model; Portfolio Return; Innovation Distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-29810-1_9

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DOI: 10.1057/9780230298101_9

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