Forecasting

Peter C. Bishop and Andy Hines
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Peter C. Bishop: University of Houston
Andy Hines: University of Houston

Chapter 7 in Teaching about the Future, 2012, pp 194-222 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract The methods of foresight deal with change in all its variety for two purposes: (1) to map change and (2) to influence it. Mapping change means describing expected and other plausible future states for which one needs to prepare. Influencing change means to bring about the best possible future given the time and resources available. People who understand the dynamics of change and the changes that are going on around them are not often surprised. People who then influence those dynamics toward their vision of a better future will have a greater chance of getting that better future.

Keywords: Critical Thinking; Scenario Planning; Baseline Analysis; Alternative Future; Tennis Racket (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-137-02070-3_8

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DOI: 10.1057/9781137020703_8

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