Sovereign Credit Risk
Susan K. Schroeder
Chapter 4 in Public Credit Rating Agencies, 2015, pp 73-104 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract Credit rating agencies perform an important service to capital markets by collecting and disseminating information about the (relative) credit quality of potential borrowers and risks associated with their debt instruments. They facilitate the creation of liquidity, an important feature of corporate and sovereign bond markets. Recent criticisms of the credit rating agencies have focused on their evaluations of asset-backed securities. The sovereign debt crisis (2008–2012) illustrates how the rating industry can influence financial market stability through changes to ratings on sovereign debt. Iceland was downgraded in 2008; Greece, Ireland, and Portugal in 2009; Spain and Italy in 2010 and 2011, respectively; and, the United States in 2011. In early 2012, Standard & Poor’s further downgraded the sovereign debt of Portugal, Italy, Spain, France, and Greece. Not all of these sovereigns exhibited weak fiscal positions prior to their downgrades, although most carried sizeable debt-to-GDP ratios. The pressure of propping up both flagging economies and/or banking sectors threw fiscal positions, strong or weak, of these governments into unhealthy territories, according to EMU guidelines, the rating agencies, and the IMF.
Keywords: Fiscal Policy; Rational Expectation; Credit Default Swap; Sovereign Debt; Credit Default Swap Spread (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-137-35911-7_4
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DOI: 10.1057/9781137359117_4
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