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A Consistency Theorem for Regular Conditional Distributions

Patrizia Berti and Pietro Rigo
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Patrizia Berti: Department of Mathematics, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia
Pietro Rigo: Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods, University of Pavia

No 136, Quaderni di Dipartimento from University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods

Abstract: Let (omega, beta) be a measurable space, An in B a sub-sigma-field and µn a random probability measure, n >= 1. In various frameworks, one looks for a probability P on B such that µn is a regular conditional distribution for P given An for all n. Conditions for such a P to exist are given. The conditions are quite simple when (omega, beta) is a compact Hausdorff space equipped with the Borel or the Bairesigma-field (as well as under other similar assumptions). Such conditions are then applied to Bayesian statistics.

Keywords: Posterior distribution; Random probability measure; Regular conditional distribution. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 9 pages
Date: 2010-12
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