Estimating the Risk of Parvovirus B19 Infection in Blood Donors and Pregnant Women in Japan

Koji Nabae, Hiroshi Satoh, Hiroshi Nishiura, Keiko Tanaka-Taya, Nobuhiko Okabe, Kazunori Oishi, Kunichika Matsumoto and Tomonori Hasegawa

PLOS ONE, 2014, vol. 9, issue 3, 1-8

Abstract: Background: Seroepidemiological study of parvovirus B19 has not taken place for some 20 years in Japan. To estimate the risk of parvovirus B19 infection in Japan among blood donors and pregnant women in this century, a seroepidemiological survey and statistical modeling of the force of infection were conducted. Methodology/Principal Findings: The time- and age-specific seroprevalence data were suggestive of strong age-dependency in the risk of infection. Employing a piecewise constant model, the highest forces of infection of 0.05 and 0.12 per year were observed among those aged 0–4 and 5–9 years, respectively, while estimates among older individuals were less than 0.01 per year. Analyzing the antigen detection data among blood donors, the age-specific proportion positive was highest among those aged 30–39 years, agreeing with the presence of dip in seroprevalence in this age-group. Among pregnant women, up to 107 fetal deaths and 21 hydrops fetalis were estimated to have occurred annually across Japan. Conclusions: Seroepidemiological profiles of PVB19 infection in Japan was characterized with particular emphasis on the risk of infection in blood donors and the burden of infection among pregnant women. When a vaccine becomes available in the future, a similar seroepidemiological study is expected to play a key role in planning the appropriate immunization policy.

Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0092519

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0092519

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