Public spending and primary school enrolment: An Autoregressive distributed lag approach

Parfait Beri, Logan Cochrane and Sarah Syed Fazlullah

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper delves into the effects of public investment on primary school enrollment in low- and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) over three decades, from 1990 to 2020. Autoregressive distributed lag models are employed to evaluate the long-term influence of public spending on enrollment for the whole sample and four distinct sub-samples, while also probing the potential non-linear nature of this relationship. Findings reveal that public expenditure has a significant, positive impact on enrollment across LMICs, including low-income countries (LICs), lower-middle-income countries (LMCs), and sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in the long run. These effects persist under non-linear model specifications. This research provides fresh empirical insights by adopting a long-term viewpoint on the nexus between educational funding and enrollment trends in LMICs. These findings highlight the critical role of sustained and efficient funding for achieving enrollment goals, a cornerstone for the advancement of sustainable development.

Keywords: Public spending; government expenditure; school enrolment; education; SDG4. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I21 I22 I24 I28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-04-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:122561

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