Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development
Graciela Chichilnisky and
Sam Cole
MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany
Abstract:
This article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.
Keywords: modelling; modeling; scenarios; north-south; north; south; development; developing; economics; technology; macroeconomic; macroeconomic model; socio-technical; production; consumption; basic goods; luxury goods; microeconomic; developing; technology; production systems; labour; labor; labour output; labor output; capital; growth; population; price; scenario analysis; sociopolitical; quantitative (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C5 O1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1978
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
Published in Futures (1978): pp. 303-321
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:7847
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