A Radical Shift in Managing Risks: Practical Applications of Complexity Theory

Graciela Chichilnisky

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Complexity theory is designed to bring order out of a rough-and- tumble world, something close to every insurance professional's or actuary's heart. Whether applied in the laboratory or as part of a mathematical model, it can do wonderful things . But in the real world it's just what its name says-a theory. It may help us understand why things go one way or another, but it can't foretell those things with such certainty that an insurance company could, say, set its rates based on the knowledge that only one hurricane will strike Florida during the coming year...

Keywords: Complexity theory; risk; risk management; managing risk; climate change; global warming; chaotic systems; weather; hedging; hedge (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G32 Q51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Contingencies, American Academy of Actuaries January/February 1998 (1998): pp. 28-32

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:7881

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