Forecast of facilities stock for the consequences elimination of the anthropogenic accidents

Vladimir Mkhitaryan (), Vladimir Shishov () and Andrey Kozlov ()
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Vladimir Mkhitaryan: Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
Vladimir Shishov: Penza State Technological Academy, Penza, Russia
Andrey Kozlov: Penza State Technological Academy, Penza, Russia
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Vladimir Sergeevich Mhitaryan ()

Applied Econometrics, 2010, vol. 19, issue 3, 91-100

Abstract: Accidents forecast of various nature with sufficient economic damage, maximal loss enhancement, elimination of their consequences is a national wide problem It is an important concern of authorities and all levels management In order to solve this problem we need a forecast system for emergencies and possible loss volume, for determination of optimal reserves being sufficient for rapid consequences elimination and carrying out accident recovery work. Some methods of forecast of facilities stock for the prediction and consequences elimination of the anthropogenic accidents being based on stochastic models of stock management are discussed It is also shown how we can use these methods in power grids of the Penza region

Keywords: anthropogenic accidents; damage; forecasting; optimal reserves; distribution law of damage; exponential distribution; gamma distribution; insurance reserve; stochastic model of stock management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C02 C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:apltrx:0095

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