글로벌 인구구조 변화의 거시경제적 영향과 시사점(Global Demography and the Macroeconomy: Impacts and Policy Implications)

Sang-Ha Yoon, Hyo Sang Kim, Jiheum Yeon, Jung Eun Yoon, Yena Song, Jiyun Lee, Sangyup Choi and Jinwook Hur
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Sang-Ha Yoon: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Hyo Sang Kim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Jiheum Yeon: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Jung Eun Yoon: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Yena Song: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Jiyun Lee: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Sangyup Choi: Yonsei University
Jinwook Hur: Sookmyung Women's University

No 25-10, Policy Analyses from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Abstract: 전 세계가 저출생과 고령화가 동시에 진행되는 인구학적 전환을 겪고 있는 가운데 한국은 그 속도가 특히 빠른 상황이다. 이러한 인구구조 변화는 금리, 성장, 산업구조, 정부재정, 대외 부문에 걸쳐 광범위한 구조적 변화를 유발하고 있다. 본 보고서에서 글로벌 인구구조 변화가 한국경제의 중립금리, 생산성, 산업·무역, 재정, 대외 부문에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하고 통합적 정책대응을 제시하고자 한다. As the world undergoes a demographic transition characterized by simultaneous low fertility and population aging, Korea is experiencing this shift at a particularly rapid pace. These demographic changes are triggering extensive structural transformations across interest rates, growth, industrial structure, government finances, and external balances. This report quantitatively evaluates the impact of global demographic changes on five pillars of the Korean economy—neutral interest rates, productivity, industry and trade, public finance, and external sector—and presents integrated policy responses.

Keywords: Global Demography; Macroeconomy; Economic growth; Economic outlook (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 230
Date: 2025-12-30
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