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Colombian agricultural sector and armed conflict (2007 - 2022): An empirical analysis

Daniel Andrés Mosquera (), Nadja Menezes Nery de Oliveira and Pery Shikida
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Daniel Andrés Mosquera: Universidad del Valle (Univalle)

Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, 2025, vol. 19, issue 1, 24-40

Abstract: This article empirically proposes an unbalanced panel data model of random effects for the totalof municipalities in Colombia in a period between 2007 and 2022 that analyzes the impact ofthe armed conflict on agricultural production, controlling by municipalities ZOMAC, post-peaceagreement and sown area. The results show that production is negatively affected by 0.008%for each 1% additional victims of conflict in the municipalities each year; the analysis is carriedout crop cycle, where transient crops are the most affected in the face of the conflict. On theother hand, the econometry model include the Differences-in-Differences parameter to estimatethe post-agreements, between Colombian Estate and FARC, effect in the agriculture production.The results show that in a peace scenario, the agriculture production growth 0,07% each year.

Keywords: Agricultural production; Armed conflict; Violence; Institutionality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 E02 O18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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