Simulation of the Covid-19 pandemic data series

George Daniel Mateescu ()
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George Daniel Mateescu: Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy

Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting from Institute for Economic Forecasting

Abstract: In the context of the Covid-19 pandemic, we set out to develop a model to simulate the spread of the pandemic, a model based on current information on the process of spreading SARS-CoV-2 virus infection. The algorithm is made on days, every day there is a number of infected (sick) a number of contacts and a probability of contagion / transmission, which results in the coefficient R of disease spread.

Keywords: pandemic simulation; probability of contagion (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 8 pages
Date: 2021-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ore
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rjr:wpiecf:210925

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