Strategic directions of regulation of regional labor markets in re-connected territories: cognitive approach

Стратегические направления регулирования региональных рынков труда воссоединенных территорий: когнитивный подход

Natalia V. Bryukhanova (Брюханова Н.В.), Sergey S. Zmiyak (Змияк С.С.) and Darya E. Ivanova (Иванова Д.Е.)
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Natalia V. Bryukhanova (Брюханова Н.В.): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, South-Russian Institute of Management
Sergey S. Zmiyak (Змияк С.С.): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, South-Russian Institute of Management
Darya E. Ivanova (Иванова Д.Е.): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, South-Russian Institute of Management

State and Municipal Management Scholar Notes, 2025, vol. 4, 15-25

Abstract: Introduction. Modern economic science is characterized by a diversity of theoretical approaches and methodological tools for studying regional labor markets, which creates methodological heterogeneity and complicates the development of unified models for analysis, forecasting, and decision-making in their management. In the absence of reliable statistical information on the labor market of reunited territories, this issue becomes especially relevant, necessitating the development of new regulatory approaches that ensure both their stability and competitiveness. The purpose of this study is the development of strategic directions for the regulation of regional labor markets in reunited territories based on a cognitive approach, which allows for consideration of qualitative factors and causal relationships under conditions of incomplete statistical data. Materials and methods. The methodological basis of the research was the cognitive approach, implemented through simulation modeling methods. For structuring knowledge and analyzing causal relationships, cognitive maps of various levels of detail (weighted directed graphs) were constructed. Scenario modeling was conducted using the GMCS and "Ados-Pro" software systems. Additionally, content analysis of expert surveys and analysis of statistical data were applied. Results. The article argues that effective regulation of the regional labor markets of reunited territories requires the integrated application of cognitive modeling and traditional analytical methods. The developed methodological toolkit enables the consideration of qualitative factors and the construction of forecasts under conditions of uncertainty. The proposed strategic directions represent a practical mechanism for transitioning from crisis management to strategic development based on the simultaneous enhancement of the stability and competitiveness of regional labor markets. Conclusions. The article proves that effective regulation of regional labor markets in re-connected territories requires an integrated application of cognitive modelling and traditional methods of analysis. The developed methodological tools allow to take into account qualitative factors and make forecasts in conditions of uncertainty. The proposed strategic directions represent a practical mechanism of transition from crisis management to strategic development based on synchronous increase in resilience and competitiveness of regional labour markets.

Keywords: regional labor market; reunited territories; cognitive approach; cognitive modeling; scenario analysis; strategic regulation; labor shortage; expert evaluation; labor market stability; competitiveness; socio-economic development; scenario modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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