CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF MILITARY SCENARIOS ON HYBRID THREAT

Dan-Lucian Petrescu ()
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Dan-Lucian Petrescu: National Defense University “Carol I”

No 20, Proceedings of the 9-th International Conference on Knowledge Management: Projects, Systems and Technologies, Bucharest, November 26-27, 2015. from Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, Academy of Economic Studies from Bucharest and "Carol I-st" National Defence University, Department for Management of the Defence Resources and Education

Abstract: The international security environment is constantly changing. Action and reaction are receiving new values on the future confrontation scene within the actors’ desire to surprise in achieving their goal. This creates the need to seek new action methods and techniques, means of conceptual and technological matter, able to give to military power valuable tools for achieving the superiority in contemporary conflicts equation. In this article I intend to bring to the attention of planners a modern method of military scenarios development, based on logical and mathematical arguments and mechanisms, in order to bring more efficiency in the scenarios design and development at all levels of military art: strategic, operational and tactical. This work stands as a starting point in the research efforts undertaken in order to permanently adapt the operational planning tools, so that the answer opposed to the threats specific to the present and future operational environment will ensure the success.

Keywords: scenario; hybrid threat; operational planning; operational environment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 8 pages
Date: 2015-11
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