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A Dynamic Analysis Of Net Migration And State Employment Change

John S. Gruidl and Glen C. Pulver
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John S. Gruidl: Western Illinois University
Glen C. Pulver: University of Wisconsin Madison

The Review of Regional Studies, 1991, vol. 21, issue 1, 21-38

Abstract: The dynamic relationship of net migration and employment change is examined for ten selected states of the U.S. using a multivariate time series approach - a vector autoregression (VAR) model. Granger causality tests and dynamic multipliers provide information on the dynamic process. The results suggest a state-level process in which employment change occurs first, and net migration follows with a lag. The procedure appears promising in investigating the timing of net migration and regional employment change.

Date: 1991
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