Where is the EU–UK relationship heading? A conjoint survey experiment of Brexit trade-offs

Simon Hix, Clifton van der Linden, Joanna Massie, Mark Pickup and Justin Savoie
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Simon Hix: Department of Political and Social Sciences, European University Institute, Florence, Italy
Clifton van der Linden: Department of Political Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
Joanna Massie: Department of Political Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
Mark Pickup: Department of Political Science, Simon Fraser University, BC, Canada
Justin Savoie: Department of Political Science, 7938University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

European Union Politics, 2023, vol. 24, issue 1, 184-205

Abstract: The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) is the start of a new relationship between the UK and the European Union (EU). As the consequences of Brexit unfold, there will be pressure to change the TCA, either in a “softer†or “harder†direction. To determine the potential medium-term direction of the EU–UK relationship, we conducted a conjoint survey experiment with a sample of British voters, where we asked them to choose between different hypothetical package deals. When faced with such choices, British citizens overall mostly support a softer relationship in which the UK applies EU regulatory standards in return for greater access to the single market. However, Leave voters most often support a much harder trade-off of full regulatory sovereignty but continued restrictions on UK exports.

Keywords: Brexit; conjoint experiment; external differentiation; public opinion (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:24:y:2023:i:1:p:184-205

DOI: 10.1177/14651165221123155

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