Key Aspects of Global Climate Change

K. Ya. Kondratyev
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K. Ya. Kondratyev: St. Petersburg

Energy & Environment, 2004, vol. 15, issue 3, 469-503

Abstract: As a contribution to the World Climate Change Conference (WCCC 2003, Moscow September 29 – October 3), an analysis was made of the key issues in the scientific understanding of contemporary global climate change. The focus of this analysis is a discussion of the uncertainties relating to existing observational data and of the results of numerical modelling. The necessity for analysing current models for their ability to simulate real climate change is emphasized. Real climate change results from the non-linear interactions between numerous components of the climatic system, also taking into account potential contributions from cosmic factors such as solar activity. It is concluded that current models are unable to simulate real climate adequately and should not be used for policy-making predicated on future ‘predicted’ climate.

Date: 2004
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:engenv:v:15:y:2004:i:3:p:469-503

DOI: 10.1260/0958305041494666

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