Modeling the Macrodynamics of International Migration: Determinants of Emigration from Cyprus, 1946–85

N D Diamantides and S T Constantinou
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N D Diamantides: Dynamic Modeling and Analytics, 2517 14th Street, Cuyahoga Falls, OH 44223, USA
S T Constantinou: The Ohio State University, Mansfield Campus, 1680 University Drive, Mansfield, OH 44906, USA

Environment and Planning A, 1989, vol. 21, issue 7, 927-950

Abstract: A model is presented of international migration that is based on the concept of a pool of potential emigrants at the origin created by push — pull forces and by the establishment of information feedback between origin and destination. The forces can be economic, political, or both, and are analytically expressed by the ‘mediating factor’. The model is macrodynamic in nature and provides both for the main secular component of the migratory flow and for transient components caused by extraordinary events. The model is expressed in a Bernoulli-type differential equation through which quantitative weights can be derived for each of the operating causes. Out-migration from the Republic of Cyprus is used to test the tenets of the model.

Date: 1989
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:21:y:1989:i:7:p:927-950

DOI: 10.1068/a210927

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