Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments

Natalie Vanatta and Brian David Johnson

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 2019, vol. 16, issue 1, 79-88

Abstract: Threatcasting, a new foresight methodology, draws from futures studies and military strategic thinking to provide a novel method to model the future. The methodology fills gaps in existing military futures thinking and provides a process to specify actionable steps as well as progress indicators. Threatcasting also provides an ability to anticipate future threats and develop strategies to reduce the impact of any event. This technical note provides a detailed explanation of the Threatcasting methodology. It provides the reader with its connections to the current body of work within the foresight community and then explains the four phase methodology through the use of a real-life example.

Keywords: Threatcasting; cyber model; narrative; technology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:joudef:v:16:y:2019:i:1:p:79-88

DOI: 10.1177/1548512918806385

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