Factors Affecting International Tourism Flows to Turkey: A Gravity Model Approach

Mehmet EryiÄŸit, ErdoÄŸan Kotil and Resul EryiÄŸit
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Mehmet EryiÄŸit: Department of Management, Abant Izzet Baysal University, 14280-Bolu, Turkey
ErdoÄŸan Kotil: Department of Economics, Abant Izzet Baysal University, 14280-Bolu, Turkey
Resul EryiÄŸit: Department of Physics, Abant Izzet Baysal University, 14280-Bolu, Turkey

Tourism Economics, 2010, vol. 16, issue 3, 585-595

Abstract: A gravity-based modelling effort is undertaken to analyse the factors affecting the numbers of international tourists visiting Turkey from the top 11 originating countries for 1995–2005. It is found that an eight-factor model (GDP per capita, tourism climate index, population of the originating country, tourism price index, distance, earthquake, neighbouring country, September 11 terrorist attacks) can explain most of the data. The usual negative distance effect and the tourism climate index are found to be the most important indicators of the magnitude of tourism flows. An unexpected finding, however, is the relative insignificance of the Iraq War dummy.

Keywords: gravity model; tourism flows; tourism climate index; tourism price index; trade volume; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:toueco:v:16:y:2010:i:3:p:585-595

DOI: 10.5367/000000010792278374

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