Addressing the determinants of built-up expansion and densification processes at the regional scale

Ahmed Mustafa, Anton Van Rompaey, Mario Cools, Ismaïl Saadi and Jacques Teller
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Ahmed Mustafa: Liège University, Belgium
Anton Van Rompaey: KU Leuven, Belgium
Mario Cools: Liège University, Belgium
Ismaïl Saadi: Liège University, Belgium
Jacques Teller: Liège University, Belgium

Urban Studies, 2018, vol. 55, issue 15, 3279-3298

Abstract: An in-depth understanding of the main factors behind built-up development is a key prerequisite for designing policies dedicated to a more efficient land use. Infill development policies are essential to curb sprawl and allow a progressive recycling of low-density areas inherited from the past. This paper examines the controlling factors of built-up expansion and densification processes in Wallonia (Belgium). Unlike the usual urban/built-up expansion studies, our approach considers various levels of built-up densities to distinguish between different types of developments, ranging from low-density extensions (or sprawl) to high-density infill development. Belgian cadastral data for 1990, 2000 and 2010 were used to generate four classes of built-up areas, namely, non-, low-, medium- and high-density areas. A number of socioeconomic, geographic and political factors related to built-up development were operationalised following the literature. We then used a multinomial logistic regression model to analyse the effects of these factors on the transitions between different densities in the two decades between 1990 and 2010. The findings indicate that all the controlling factors show distinctive variations based on density. More specifically, the centrality of zoning policies in explaining expansion processes is highlighted. This is especially the case for high-density expansions. In contrast, physical and neighbourhood factors play a larger role in infill development, especially for dense infill development.

Keywords: built-up development controlling factors; built-up expansion; infill development; multinomial logistic regression; regional scale; å»ºè®¾å¼€å ‘æŽ§åˆ¶å› ç´; 建设扩å¼; å¡«è¡¥å¼ å¼€å ‘; 多类别逻辑回归; 地区尺度 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:55:y:2018:i:15:p:3279-3298

DOI: 10.1177/0042098017749176

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