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Establishing dependence of "supercycles" and problems of development of the domestic socioeconomic model

Tolstobrova N.A., Osipova M.Y. and Tolstobrov D.A.
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Tolstobrova N.A.: Perm National Research Polytechnic University
Osipova M.Y.: Perm State University
Tolstobrov D.A.: Perm National Research Polytechnic University

Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Экономика, 2015, issue 3 (26), 14-20

Abstract: Under the conditions of exacerbation of the crisis, problems of managing cyclic development of the Russian socioeconomic system are gaining special importance as it is necessary not only to level various crisis tendencies, but also to foster accelerated transition of the system to a new stage of development. The article presents the results of research into the conditions of formation of the resource-based model of economic development in Russia, as well as the problems of the economic environment, which has had an impact on the formation and crisis state of the domestic socioeconomic model of development. Basing on the theoretical and methodological analysis conducted, "supercycles" are defined as an undulatory process of industrialization in large countries causing increase in demand for raw materials. The authors'' model of the nature of a modern supercycle is presented, which allows for predicting the main tendencies in the development of technical and economic processes. Dependence of Russia''s participation in the international division of labour on foreign policy factors is substantiated within a historical context. The problems of efficiency of the state participation in economy under the conditions of operation of agreements on production sharing and formation of the anti-crisis programme are considered. It is shown that preservation of the adverse regularity in placement of factors of production and income from them is of stable nature, and in the age of globalization this relation is only becoming stronger. Therefore, for the purposes of economic security, import substitution policy comes to the fore. Introduction of preferences to the practice of profit taxation for the development of production cooperation on the basis of accounting branch profitability is suggested among the key actions. The authors confirm that there is influence of global economic environment on the choice of a country''s model of socioeconomic development. The phenomenon of "resource curse" has to be realized at earlier stages of the development of a society''s socioeconomic model in the developing countries, which play the role of resource suppliers in the international division of labour, lag behind in technological development, have a weak position within international organizations, have no opportunity to influence economic environment and whose financial and currency dependence on the developed countries is rather high.

Keywords: ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT; INDUSTRIALIZATION; COUNTRIES OF THE OPEC AND RUSSIA; SUPERCYCLES; PRODUCTION SHARING AGREEMENT; OIL AND GAS COMPLEX; REINDUSTRIALIZATION; RESOURCE CURSE; SOCIOECONOMIC MODEL; ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ КОНЪЮНКТУРА; ИНДУСТРИАЛИЗАЦИЯ; СТРАНЫ ОПЕК И РОССИЯ; СУПЕРЦИКЛЫ; СОГЛАШЕНИЕ О РАЗДЕЛЕ ПРОДУКЦИИ; НЕФТЕГАЗОВЫЙ КОМПЛЕКС; РЕИНДУСТРИАЛИЗАЦИЯ; РЕСУРСНОЕ ПРОКЛЯТИЕ; СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ МОДЕЛЬ (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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