Kamu Harcamalarının Bileşimi Ekonomik Büyümeyi Etkiler Mi? Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin Bir Analiz

Deniz Aytaç and Mehmet Cahit Güran

Sosyoekonomi Journal, 2010, issue 2010-2

Abstract: In this study, the relationship between the economic classification of public expenditure and economic growth in Turkey is examined by taking into consideration of the structural break and by causality and vector autoregression (VAR) analysis for the period 1987-2005. When the structural break is included into vector autoregressive model as a dummy variable, the results of the Granger causality test show that there is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to current expenditure and total expenditure. Furthermore, causality relationship is not found running from economic growth to transfer and investment expenditure. Additionally, impulse-response and variance decomposition analysis support the causality relation. As a result, in the period studied for Turkey, it is concluded that an increase in economic growth would lead to an increase in public expenditures.

Keywords: Composition of Government Expenditures; Economic Growth; Structural Break; Granger Causality; VAR. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q40 Q41 Q43 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sos:sosjrn:100207

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