Analysis of food demand projections under the nutrition goal and recommendations

Zishan Xu ()
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Zishan Xu: Nanjing Agricultural University

A chapter in Proceedings of the 2023 2nd International Conference on Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade (ESFCT 2023), 2024, pp 411-418 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract As the basic material foundation of human development, the supply and demand of food plays an important role in the development of a country. After solving the problem of food and clothing, the pursuit of dietary nutrition of human beings has been increasing. Based on the demand for food under the nutritional objectives, this paper organizes the food demand data of China in the past ten years, and uses the gray prediction model to predict the food ration for the next five years, compares it with the amount of food needed under the nutritional objectives, summarizes the problems in the structure of China’s food supply and demand, and puts forward the suggestions about the supply and demand of food on this basis. The study found that: (1) the demand for vegetables and cereals is higher for the whole population under the nutritional objectives, followed by fruits and dairy. (2) The expected consumption of cereals and soybeans by the population will grow gradually, with soybeans growing more slowly than cereals, and cereal consumption will exceed the nutritional standard by about 50%. (3) Residents’ consumption of milk is lower than the demand under the nutritional target, and meat intake is higher than the demand under the nutritional target. This study provides a new research perspective on food supply and demand, which in turn provides a basis for scientific decision-making in areas such as food development planning and agricultural policy.

Keywords: Nutritional objectives; Gray forecasting; Food for rations; Food supply and demand structure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:advbcp:978-94-6463-268-2_45

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DOI: 10.2991/978-94-6463-268-2_45

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