Wie gut können wir die Folgen des demographischen Wandels abschätzen? Was ist sicher? Wozu brauchen wir bessere Daten?

Axel Börsch-Supan ()

AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, 2012, vol. 6, issue 1, 65-82

Abstract: Demographic change in Germany, as one of the megatrends of the 21st century, is a well-known fact which will, without a doubt, profoundly change the country’s social and economic situation and challenge our whole economic system. Spurred by statements by press and political representatives, demographic change is widely regarded as a menace and mere cost factor across the population. But this point of view disregards that the fact that people are becoming increasingly older can serve as a solution to many of the looming problems as well. A properly functioning health care system can lead to longer working lives which can in turn ensure a sustainable funding of the welfare system. The counter-argument of lacking health of the elderly does not seem to conform to the empirical evidence. A consequent implementation of needed reforms can make up for the negative impacts of demographic change and render it a chance rather than a menace. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012

Keywords: Demographischer Wandel; Gesundheitswesen; Sozialsysteme; Prognosemodell; E27; H55; J11; Demographic change; Health care system; Welfare system; Forecasting model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11943-012-0120-z (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:astaws:v:6:y:2012:i:1:p:65-82

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ce/journal/11943/PS2

DOI: 10.1007/s11943-012-0120-z

Access Statistics for this article

AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv is currently edited by Ralf Münnich

More articles in AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv from Springer, Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().