Bitcoin Market Price Analysis and an Empirical Comparison with Main Currencies, Commodities, Securities and Altcoins

Burak Pirgaip, Burcu Dinçergök () and Şüheda Haşlak
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Burcu Dinçergök: Atilim University
Şüheda Haşlak: Cankaya University

Chapter Chapter 8 in Blockchain Economics and Financial Market Innovation, 2019, pp 141-166 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The purpose of this study is to analyze Bitcoin (BTC) market prices and to answer the question of whether there is a relationship between BTC and other asset prices, where other assets include currencies, commodities, securities and altcoins. In the empirical part, we evaluate the lead-lag relationships among each type of asset. Consequently, we compare BTC with major currencies and stock exchanges of the U.S., the EU, the U.K. and Japan (USD-SPX, EUR-DAX, GBP-FTSE and JPY-NIK), with currencies and stock exchanges of the U.S., the U.K., Russia, Venezuela and China where BTC is actively traded (USD-SPX, GBP-FTSE, RUB-MOEX, VEF-IBVC and YUAN- SSCE), with major commodities (GOLD and OIL) and with major altcoins (ETH, XRP and LTC) on a daily basis for the period spanning from 2010.07 to 2018.12. We employ Johansen co-integration, Granger causality, impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition analyses in our study. Our results show that BTC does not have a long-run relationship with any asset type, but that it has a short-run relationship with gold and especially altcoins, which are both significant and bidirectional. While BTC and altcoins are closely interrelated with each other, BTC price variation is mostly borne by its own prices in all cases.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-25275-5_8

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