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An Optimal Group Decision-Making Approach for Cyber Security Using Improved Selection-Drift Dynamics

Enning Zhang, Gang Wang (), Runnian Ma and Juan Li
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Enning Zhang: Air Force Engineering University
Gang Wang: Air Force Engineering University
Runnian Ma: Air Force Engineering University
Juan Li: Air Force Engineering University

Dynamic Games and Applications, 2023, vol. 13, issue 3, No 12, 980-1004

Abstract: Abstract In cyber security, balancing investment and risk has always been a dilemmatic problem since the threats often lurk in the shadows. Thus, timely and scientifically credible decision-making will have great significance in such an attack-defense game of incomplete information. To this end, an evolutionary game model of group decision-making is proposed to analyze the behavioral change process of the defender population. In particular, we first introduce the concept of observation error and short-term prediction in network communication and establish an improved selection–drift dynamics in which errors are automatically corrected to a certain extent and the convergence speed is faster than the prototype. By calculating the stable evolutionary equilibrium of the defender population, the optimal group decision-making approach is formulated. Case studies on big data vulnerabilities indicate that the proposed model and approach perform better in robustness and computational efficiency than the 3 typical models under jamming environments.

Keywords: Cybersecurity; Decision-making; Evolutionary game theory; Optimal defense strategy; Improved selection–drift dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s13235-022-00476-6

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