Modelling Regional Immigration: Using Stocks to Predict Flows

Nicole Van der Gaag () and Leo Van Wissen
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Nicole Van der Gaag: Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)
Leo Van Wissen: Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

European Journal of Population, 2002, vol. 18, issue 4, No 4, 387-409

Abstract: Abstract This paper explores thefeasibility of improving regional internationalmigration assumptions by analysing therelationship between international migrationflows and foreign population structures.Regional projection models are discussed andempirically tested using data for Sweden. Theresults show that regional assumptions oninternational migration of foreigners could beimproved by using the spatial distribution ofstocks of foreigners as predictor.Improvements, however, are only minor and donot seem to compensate for the loss insimplicity of the models. This is especiallytrue at the aggregate level of immigrantgroups. Only for relatively new immigrantgroups, improvements are substantial.

Keywords: international migration; regional projection models; stocks of foreigners; Sweden (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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DOI: 10.1023/A:1021113025801

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