Geographies of a silent transition: a geographically weighted regression approach to regional fertility differences in Turkey

Géographie d’une transition silencieuse: une approche des différences régionales de fécondité en Turquie par régression pondérée sur une base géographique

Oğuz Işik () and M. Melih Pinarcioğlu ()
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Oğuz Işik: Middle East Technical University
M. Melih Pinarcioğlu: Middle East Technical University

European Journal of Population, 2006, vol. 22, issue 4, No 4, 399-421

Abstract: Abstract The fertility decline that Turkey has gone through in the last few decades is characterised by sharp regional inequalities, with western regions representing patterns akin to developed countries and those in the east resembling “third-world” countries, while central regions represent an in-between case. With the help of geographically weighted regression (GWR), this article is an attempt to set up a model of causal relationships that could account for the regional fertility differentials. The results indicate that the fertility decline is not a single and all-embracing process covering all regions. On the contrary, there are regions differentiated qualitatively from each other in terms of the underlying causes of the existing fertility levels.

Keywords: Turkey; Geographically weighted regression; Fertility decline; Demographic transition; Regional inequalities; Turquie; régression pondérée sur base géographique; baisse de la fécondité; transition démographique; inégalités régionales (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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DOI: 10.1007/s10680-006-9111-5

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